About this Video

• Video Title: 2025 CJ Cup Byron Nelson Course Preview - TPC Craig Ranch Key Stats, Modeling + Comp Courses
• Channel: Gsluke dfs
• Speakers: GS Luke
• Duration: 00:22:01

Introduction

This video provides a comprehensive preview of the 2025 CJ Cup Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch. The speaker analyzes course details, including renovations and key statistics, to help viewers make informed decisions for fantasy golf and betting purposes. The video also includes a hole-by-hole breakdown and comparative analysis with similar courses.

Key Takeaways

• Course Renovations: TPC Craig Ranch has undergone significant renovations since the last CJ Cup, adding approximately 150 yards to the course length (now over 7,500 yards), resulting in a longer, potentially more challenging course. New greens are also being installed.
• Key Statistics: The video highlights key statistics, including Shots Gained (off the tee and approach), putting from 8-15 feet, proximity from 175-250 yards, and birdie or better percentage, to identify potential top performers. The model emphasizes ball-striking statistics.
• Comp Courses: The video suggests comparing player performance at similar courses such as Memorial Park Golf Course (Houston Open), TPC Summerlin (Shriners Children's Open), and Country Club of Jackson (Sanderson Farms Championship) to predict success at TPC Craig Ranch.
• Model Predictions: The video's custom model identifies Joseph Bramlett, Trace Crowe, and Alejandro Tosti as top contenders, but the speaker cautions that these players mainly compete in weaker-field events and suggests focusing on players with consistent top-tier event participation like Scotty Scheffler and Si Woo Kim.
• Hole-by-Hole Analysis: The video offers a hole-by-hole analysis, detailing the type of shots (e.g., driver, iron, lay-up) typically required for each hole, considering wind conditions and course features. The speaker emphasizes the importance of strategic play.

The video's custom model identifies Joseph Bramlett, Trace Crowe, and Alejandro Tosti as the top three players. However, the speaker qualifies these predictions by noting that these players primarily compete in weaker-field events and may not have the same level of success in a stronger field like the CJ Cup. The speaker suggests prioritizing players with consistent performance in top-tier events, using the model as one factor in the decision-making process rather than the sole determinant.