21 YouTubers Agree on 5 Stocks. My Entry Points

About this video

• Video Title: 21 YouTubers Agree on 5 Stocks. My Entry Points
• Channel: BWB - Business With Brian
• Speakers: Brian (host)
• Duration: 00:25:19

Overview

This video analyzes stock recommendations from 21 YouTubers, identifying five commonly discussed companies. The host, Brian, breaks down agreements and disagreements among these creators regarding their stock picks and provides his own analysis, including specific entry points and valuation methods. The video also touches on the importance of objective rules in investing and how external news can influence decisions.

Key takeaways

• Consensus on Five Stocks: Across 141 analyzed stock videos, only five companies were consistently mentioned by multiple YouTubers.
• Divergent Opinions on Alphabet (Google): While some creators are bullish on Alphabet, citing undervaluation and strong financials, others see it as expensive compared to historical averages and prefer other "hyperscalers."
• Nvidia's Valuation Debate: There's a split view on Nvidia, with some seeing it as undervalued based on stock price and others concerned about the increasing cost of insuring its debt and the potential for chip obsolescence.
• Micron's Cyclical Nature: The cyclicality of the memory market is highlighted as a key factor, with a warning that a low multiple at record earnings could indicate a cycle top.
• Coreweave's Lack of History: Due to its short public trading history (17 months), a reliable valuation ladder cannot be established for Coreweave, leading the host to stand aside from providing specific entry points.
• Uber's Cash Flow vs. Earnings: The analysis of Uber shows it appears cheap based on current earnings but expensive based on projected earnings, suggesting the market anticipates a decline in future profits.
• Importance of Personal Rules: The host emphasizes the need for objective, pre-defined investment rules to remove emotion and avoid being swayed by market noise or news headlines.

The video discusses the consensus and disagreements among 21 YouTubers regarding their stock picks. Here's a breakdown of the consensus points and differing opinions presented:

• Alphabet (Google):

  • Bullish/Agree: Nolan (Investing Simplified) believes the market undervalues Alphabet and it's still undervalued. Parkev (The Mly Fool) has rated it a buy for years and owns it himself, reiterating his buy rating.
  • Bearish/Disagree: Daniel Prank sees Alphabet as more expensive than other hyperscalers when compared to historical averages and prefers Amazon and Meta. He also notes a fair value of $354, close to its current trading price.
  • Mixed/Neutral: Felix's audience initially voted to sell Google, but their stance changed after learning Berkshire Hathaway increased its stake. The host acknowledges Felix's approach of letting the audience decide, but emphasizes the danger of changing rules based on news. The host also presents a nuanced view, noting Alphabet is cheaper against earnings but expensive against sales, leading to opposite answers depending on the metric used.

• Nvidia:

  • Bullish: Parkev calculates a fair value of $300 per share, considering it undervalued even with a price increase.
  • Concerns/Cautionary: Felix highlights concerns about the increasing cost of insuring Nvidia's debt, indicating a perception of higher risk, and points out the large amount of customer borrowing for chips that could become obsolete. He notes the credit market's worry about who holds the risk when customers borrow.
  • Analyst/Host View: A MarketBeat analyst focuses on "events" as entry points rather than specific prices. The host's own read places fair value around $290, aligning with analyst consensus, but debates the width of valuation bands. Felix's concern about financing costs leads to a very low rung on the ladder at $148. The host leans in, noting Nvidia is cheaper against earnings than in 80% of the last 10 years, but it's already over 12% of his portfolio.

• Micron:

  • Bullish/Buy: Ross Given has a strategy of buying at increasing price points ($135, $275, $500) as the stock breaks out to new highs. Jeffrey Neil Johnson notes Micron's capacity is sold out through 2027. Nolan also liked Micron.
  • Cautionary: The host warns that memory is cyclical and a cheap multiple at record earnings could signal a cycle top.
  • Host's Analysis: The host's system initially suggests a high fair value near $1,450 but also flags it as richly valued against its history, leading him to take a smaller bite. He uses the 50-day moving average as a trigger for buying.

• Coreweave:

  • Bullish/Buy: Daniel Prank (hypothesizing from the name similarity) points to an SEC filing where Nvidia agrees to rent back Coreweave's capacity until 2032. James Fish (Piper Sandler analyst) suggests it's an obvious buy if its analysis of Neo clouds undercutting hyperscalers is correct. Parkev calculates a fair value of $113, making it slightly undervalued at $104. The host reiterates his buy rating for Coreweave stock.
  • Concerns/Cautionary: The host references a historical parallel to Lucent, where a seller underwrote its own demand, raising concerns about Coreweave's customer relationship and the seller (Nvidia) underwriting its demand. Joseph Hog avoids the group due to potential cash flow problems for smaller companies.
  • Host's Stance: The host cannot price Coreweave due to its short public history and stands aside, noting that standing aside is different from holding.

• Uber:

  • Bullish: Parkev presents Uber as undervalued with a fair value of $120 a share, compared to its market price of $67 after a drop. He notes the company throws off significant free cash flow. The host's valuation comes in near $109, aligning closely with Parkev's.
  • Concerns/Risk: The host notes the overhang of driverless car technology as a potential risk. He also points out that Uber looks cheap against past profits but expensive against expected future profits, indicating market doubt about those future profits.
  • Host's Analysis: The host leans on cash flow rather than earnings for Uber. His system's ladder places Uber in the deepest buy band, with the risk factor being the driverless car technology mentioned by Parkev.

• Amazon and Meta: Mentioned by Daniel Prank as alternatives he prefers over Google and Microsoft due to valuation.

Here's a list of the stocks discussed and the general sentiment or decision expressed by the YouTubers and the host:

1. Alphabet (Google)

• Nolan (Investing Simplified): Bullish - Believes it's undervalued.
• Parkev: Bullish - Owns it, reiterates buy rating, sees it as undervalued.
• Daniel Prank: Bearish/Neutral - Prefers Amazon/Meta, sees Google as expensive among hyperscalers, fair value near current price.
• Felix: Mixed/Neutral - Audience initially voted to sell, but their view changed with news of Berkshire Hathaway's stake.
• Host (Brian): Bullish (long-term, dollar-cost averaging) - Leans positive, but acknowledges it looks expensive on sales vs. cheap on earnings.

2. Nvidia

• Parkev: Bullish - Calculates fair value at $300, sees it as undervalued.
• Felix: Cautious/Concerned - Highlights risk in debt insurance costs and potential obsolescence, concerned about customer risk.
• MarketBeat Analyst: Focuses on "events" for entry points.
• Host (Brian): Leaning In/Buy Band - Fair value around $290, but acknowledges wide valuation bands and high portfolio weighting.

3. Amazon

• Daniel Prank: Bullish (preferred over Google/Microsoft)

4. Meta

• Daniel Prank: Bullish (preferred over Google/Microsoft)

5. Uber

• Parkev: Bullish - Calculates fair value at $120, sees it as undervalued, strong cash flow.
• Host (Brian): Bullish/Deepest Buy Band - Fair value near $109, aligns with Parkev, prioritizes cash flow over earnings, acknowledges driverless car risk.

6. Micron

• Ross Given: Bullish (buys on breakouts to new highs)
• Jeffrey Neil Johnson: Bullish (capacity sold out through 2027)
• Nolan: Bullish
• Host (Brian): Cautious/Buy Band - Concerned about cyclical nature, uses 50-day moving average as a trigger, takes smaller bites due to conflicting valuation signals.

7. Coreweave

• James Fish (Analyst): Bullish - Obvious buy if analysis is correct.
• Parkev: Bullish - Fair value slightly above current price.
• Host (Brian): Neutral/Standing Aside - Reiterates buy rating but cannot provide a ladder due to lack of historical data. Views it as potentially significant but unquantifiable.

Summary of Host's (Brian's) Stance:

• Alphabet: Positive long-term, dollar-cost averaging.
• Nvidia: Leaning in, in a buy band, but cautious due to portfolio weight and valuation band width.
• Amazon & Meta: Preferred over Google by some, implying a positive outlook.
• Uber: Bullish, in the deepest buy band, relying on cash flow.
• Micron: In a buy band, but cautious due to cyclicality and conflicting valuation signals.
• Coreweave: Standing aside, unable to quantify due to lack of history, despite potential.