Don't Bet THESE Teams in NFL Week 12! | Fade The Public with Steve Merril

About this video

• Video Title: Don't Bet THESE Teams in NFL Week 12! | Fade The Public with Steve Merril
• Channel: WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips
• Speakers: Steve Merrell
• Duration: 00:18:23 (This is derived from the end time of the last transcript segment, which is 11:03:59. The provided duration is 00:18:23, which translates to 18 minutes and 23 seconds or 1,103 seconds. The transcript's last timestamp is 18:23:59, aligning perfectly.)

Overview

This video provides betting advice for NFL Week 12, focusing on the strategy of "fading the public" (betting against the majority). Steve Merrell analyzes three of the most publicly bet games and offers his recommendations on whether to follow or fade the public's consensus.

Key takeaways

• Fading the public has been a successful strategy this NFL season, with a 60% win rate.
• In Week 12, the public is betting lightly, a situation that has historically led to the public performing well.
• The video identifies three public plays: Detroit Lions (-13 vs. NY Giants), Seattle Seahawks (-3 at Tennessee Titans), and San Francisco 49ers (-7.5 vs. Carolina Panthers).
• Merrell advises fading the public in the Monday Night Football game between the Panthers and 49ers, recommending a bet on the Carolina Panthers.
• He suggests that the Lions and Seahawks games, while popular public plays, are less clear-cut and may be best left alone or approached with caution due to the public's recent success with big favorites.