How to Beat PrizePicks With Math: $200,000 in Winnings!

About this Video

• Video Title: How to Beat PrizePicks With Math: $200,000 in Winnings!
• Channel: Beat The Sportsbooks
• Speakers: Derek
• Duration: 00:17:40

Introduction

This video demonstrates a mathematical strategy to profit from the PrizePicks app. The speaker, Derek, a professional sports bettor, claims to have won nearly $200,000 using this method and explains how viewers can replicate his success. He was subsequently banned from the platform due to his consistent profitability.

Key Takeaways

1. Line Comparison: Compare PrizePicks lines to those of established sportsbooks (like FanDuel) to identify mispriced odds. Sportsbooks with extensive data provide a more accurate reflection of probabilities.
2. Break-Even Odds/Implied Percentage: Understand the break-even odds for different bet types on PrizePicks (e.g., 2-man, 4-man, 5-man). Some bet types require a higher win rate to profit than others. 5 and 6-man flex bets have the lowest break-even requirement.
3. Plus EV Betting: Focus on props with a significantly higher implied probability of hitting (as indicated by sportsbook odds) than the implied probability suggested by PrizePicks odds. This creates a positive expected value (plus EV), guaranteeing long-term profits.
4. Optimal Slip Types: Prioritize 2-man power, 4-man power (especially with correlated bets), and 5-man/6-man flex bets, as these offer the best chance of long-term profitability due to lower break-even requirements. Avoid 3-man bets.
5. Tool for Identifying Profitable Props: Derek promotes his Discord server, "Beat the Sportsbooks," containing a tool that automatically identifies profitable PrizePicks props by comparing them against several sportsbooks' odds in real-time.