About this video

• Video Title: I went all in today
• Channel: Financial Education
• Speakers: (Not specified in the transcript)
• Duration: 00:33:45

Overview

This video discusses the current stock market conditions, highlighting unusual trends like the NASDAQ's decline while silver and TLT are performing well. The speaker analyzes Meta's stock performance, its business fundamentals, and future potential, contrasting its recent weakness with its long-term strength. The video also addresses concerns about margin debt in the market, warns against its use, and details the speaker's purchase of eight stocks, including Meta, PayPal, Elf on a Shelf, Celsius, Adobe, Salesforce, AMD, and American Express.

Key takeaways

• The stock market is exhibiting unusual behavior with conflicting performances across different assets like the NASDAQ, silver, and TLT.
• Meta's stock has underperformed in the short term but shows strong long-term potential due to robust business fundamentals and growth in its ecosystem (Threads, WhatsApp).
• High levels of margin debt in the market signal potential future volatility and a significant market correction is needed to reduce it.
• The speaker advises against using margin due to the high risk of devastating losses and emphasizes focusing on long-term investing and wealth building.
• The speaker details their purchase of eight stocks: Meta, PayPal, Elf on a Shelf, Celsius, Adobe, Salesforce, AMD, and American Express, explaining their reasoning for each.

Here's a breakdown of each stock mentioned and what the speaker said about it:

• Silver: Up almost 24% year-to-date, which is considered "insane" given that the NASDAQ is down year-to-date.
• TLT (Treasury Long Bond ETF): Is up year-to-date and is outperforming the Q's (likely referring to the NASDAQ or a tech-heavy ETF). A friend predicts TLT will do better than the Q's in 2026.
• Crude Oil: Is "rocketing" so far this year, up over 7%, attributed to geopolitical situations.
• GSG (iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust): Is skyrocketing, up almost 5.5% year-to-date. The speaker warns that if GSG keeps rising, it could lead to inflation returning, hurting consumers and the market, and potentially putting rate hikes back on the table.
• Meta:
  • The stock was very weak in the latter half of last year and is still weak, down almost 7% year-to-date.
  • The speaker has a large position in Meta and receives many questions about it.
  • Despite recent weakness, Meta has historically been a great long-term stock, up 144% in 5 years and nearly 2,000% since its IPO, outperforming the S&P 500 significantly.
  • Since the Q4 2022 bottom, Meta is up 560%, compared to the S&P 500's 78%.
  • Its revenue growth is over 20%, which is exceptional for a company with a trillion-dollar market cap, outpacing most other big tech companies except Nvidia.
  • The business fundamentals (revenue, operating cash flow, operating income, shareholder equity) are strong and trending upwards.
  • Concerns exist regarding Meta's increasing capital expenditures (capex) for 2024, 2025, and 2026.
  • Zuckerberg is entering his "business prime," and the company has potential with Threads and WhatsApp monetization.
  • The speaker believes Meta is a great long-term stock, potentially a $2,000 stock, and bought more shares today despite its recent weakness, as they are focused on the long-term outlook.
• Microsoft: Mentioned as a big tech company that is not growing revenue at a 20%+ clip like Meta.
• Amazon: Mentioned as a big tech company that is not growing revenue at a 20%+ clip like Meta.
• Apple: Mentioned as a big tech company that is not growing revenue at a 20%+ clip like Meta.
• Nvidia: Mentioned as one of the few big tech companies (along with Meta) growing revenue at a 20%+ clip, due to the chip cycle.
• AMD: Bucking the trend among other tech stocks, AMD is going up. The speaker loves the stock and has a significant investment in it, believing it's on its way to joining the "trillion dollar boys club." They bought more AMD today and plan to unload some shares if it reaches $400-$500.
• Oracle: Down over 5% today.
• Avago: Down about 5% today.
• Broadcom: Down about 5% today.
• Shopify: Getting "choppified," down over 6% today. The speaker notes it fell over 80% in 2022.
• PayPal: The speaker bought shares today because of its attractive valuation (forward P/E of 10-11), accelerating revenue growth, strong earnings per share, and significant share buybacks. The current CEO, Alex Chriss, is doing a good job.
• Elf on a Shelf: The speaker bought shares today, viewing it as a high-growth company that will return to strong growth and see margins increase in the latter half of 2026.
• Celsius: The speaker bought shares today, citing its strong performance, distribution deal with Pepsi, expected skyrocketing earnings per share in 2026 and 2027, and significant international expansion opportunities.
• Adobe (ADBE): The speaker bought shares today, believing it is misunderstood by Wall Street. They see strong revenue growth, earnings per share, and margins, and expect the stock to perform well over the next couple of years as management better explains the business. The plan is to build this position significantly in the first quarter.
• Salesforce (CRM): The speaker bought shares today, noting expected skyrocketing earnings per share and solid high single-digit revenue growth, with potential for low double-digit growth after acquisitions.
• American Express: The speaker bought shares today, describing it as an "easy peasy lemon squeezy" stock. They previously discussed potential impacts on credit card rates in another video.

Here are the stocks the speaker explicitly stated they bought and those they explicitly stated they did not buy:

Stocks Explicitly Bought by the Speaker:

• Meta: "I bought Meta today." and "So, first stock up here might surprise some people. I bought Meta today."
• PayPal: "PayPal number two of eight here. ... I like PayPal a lot."
• Elf on a Shelf: "Elf on a shelf. ... Okay so Elf on a Shelf uh you know love it"
• Celsius: "Celsius Celsius Holdings energy drink company um... So, Celsius, I really like that one."
• Adobe (ADBE): "ADBE, Adobe ... And so Adobe, I'm building that one out."
• Salesforce (CRM): "Next one. This might surprise some people. AMD I think I'm addicted to buying AMD stock. ... Number six of eight, Salesforce CRM,"
• AMD: "Next one. This might surprise some people. AMD I think I'm addicted to buying AMD stock." and "had to buy it."
• American Express: "And last stock I bought up here is American Express, number eight of eight."

Stocks Explicitly Not Bought by the Speaker:

The speaker does not explicitly state that they did not buy any specific stocks. Instead, they focus on the stocks they did buy, and they mention other stocks in the context of market analysis or comparison. For example, they discuss the performance of NASDAQ, silver, TLT, crude oil, GSG, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Nvidia, Oracle, Avago, Broadcom, Shopify, and Netflix, but do not indicate a decision to not purchase them.