NIFTY & BANK NIFTY Analysis for Tomorrow | Stock Market Outlook | 14 July 2025, Monday

About this Video

• Video Title: NIFTY & BANK NIFTY Analysis for Tomorrow | Stock Market Outlook | 14 July 2025, Monday
• Channel: Zerodha
• Speakers: (Speaker name not mentioned in the transcript)
• Duration: 00:07:13

Introduction

This video provides a market analysis for Nifty and Bank Nifty indices for the next trading day (July 14th, 2025). The analysis considers daily and weekly candle patterns, open interest data, participant option data (FI, Pro, and Client activity), and futures data to predict market movement.

Key Takeaways

• Bearish Market Outlook: The overall outlook for both Nifty and Bank Nifty is bearish, based on analysis of multiple indicators.
• Negative Candle Patterns: Both Nifty and Bank Nifty show consecutive big red candles (daily and weekly for Nifty, daily for Bank Nifty), indicating a downward trend. Bank Nifty also displays a bearish engulfing pattern.
• Open Interest and Option Data: High call writing, weak PCR (Put-Call Ratio), and significant FI (Foreign Institutional Investor) short positions in futures and cash segments point towards a bearish sentiment. Client activity is mixed, but the overall data leans bearish.
• Supporting Indicators: Several external factors reinforce the bearish outlook, including the downward trend in S&P, USD/INR volatility, declines in TLT and EDV (Treasury bonds), and a bearish engulfing pattern in the Indian 10-year bond.
• Trade Recommendation: The presenter suggests "bear call spreads" as the preferred trading strategy given the anticipated market decline.