About this Video

• Video Title: Picks and predictions | 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship
• Channel: Golfbet
• Speakers: Will Gray, Casey Johnston
• Duration: 00:24:22

Introduction

This Golfbet video provides picks and predictions for the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship. The hosts, Will Gray and Casey Johnston, discuss betting angles and analyze various players' chances, considering the tournament format and course specifics.

Key Takeaways

• Scotty Scheffler is the betting favorite: Despite his high odds, his consistent performance makes him a strong contender. The change in playoff format (no starting strokes at the Tour Championship) could impact his strategy.
• Russell Henley is a strong pick: His consistent top-10 finishes throughout the season, particularly in major events, and his strong course fit score make him a compelling option.
• Victor Hovland is another top contender: His second-place ranking in strokes gained approach, particularly from 150-200 yards, makes him well-suited for TPC Southwind. His past playoff success also adds to his appeal.
• Keegan Bradley's Ryder Cup Captaincy: His performance will be influenced by his role as Ryder Cup captain, motivating him to perform well to solidify his own place on the team. However, his past performance at TPC Southwind is not strong.
• Chris Goadrup and Aaron Rai are Ryder Cup hopefuls: Both are considered for their respective Ryder Cup teams, making this tournament crucial for their qualification. Their recent strong performances and course fit make them potential top-10 finishers.

The video's hosts made the following picks:

• Will Gray: Victor Hovland (outright win), Keegan Bradley (top 10). He also mentioned liking Russell Henley but didn't make him an official pick.

• Casey Johnston: Russell Henley (outright win), Chris Goadrup (top 10), Aaron Rai (top 10).

Note that these are just their personal picks and they discussed other players as well. They did not explicitly make top 20 picks.

While the discussion focused primarily on players with relatively good odds (not extreme long shots), the conversation touched upon what could be considered "best bets" based on their analysis of course fit, recent performance, and player motivation. They didn't explicitly label any picks as "long shots" or "best bets," but the implied best bets were those players they ultimately chose to include in their selections. The higher-odds picks like Hovland (plus 3500) could be viewed as riskier bets compared to Scheffler (plus 280), but not necessarily long shots in the traditional sense.