Scott Keeney states that lasers fundamentally manage information or data and transfer energy to do work.
In response to geopolitical changes, specifically regarding China and the decision for Xi Jinping to take a third term, nLIGHT's board decided to pursue a "de-risking strategy." This involved growing outside of China and de-risking their supply chain.
Scott Keeney, CEO and Co-founder of nLIGHT, delivers a keynote address at the Global Photonics Economic Forum 2025. He shares his reflections on the photonics industry, discussing its importance despite its relatively small size compared to tech giants, the profound and lasting changes in the global economy, and the critical business and ethical questions facing industry leaders. Keeney touches upon the evolution of semiconductor lasers, market shifts, the impact of geopolitical changes, and the importance of strategic and ethical decision-making in the current economic landscape.
Scott Keeney describes the global manufacturing mix as having changed dramatically, with China's manufacturing output now being roughly equal to the next ten countries combined. He notes that China has had a successful investment-led growth model, with significant opportunities for productive investment. However, he observes that the rebalancing of the economy, which many people discuss, has not yet occurred, and China continues with a sustained investment-led model. He points out that as productivity grows, it becomes harder to find productive investments, and this will play out in China as the economy matures. Keeney also highlights significant excess investment in real estate and infrastructure in China, as well as excess capacity in manufacturing across various industries.
Scott Keeney uses the example of Thomas J. Watson Sr. and IBM in the 1930s. He explains that Watson was focused on his business and took a stark point of view, and his company's tabulating machines were used for the census in both the US and Europe. Notably, these machines were used in Germany, and Watson received an award from Hitler. Keeney presents this as a case study to show that decisions made can have significant import and can be challenging to assess at the time, prompting reflection on what technology is doing in the world and whether necessary ethical decisions are being considered.