About this video

• Video Title: They Just Flipped, These 4 Stocks Will be INSANE Now
• Channel: Jeremy Lefebvre Makes Money
• Speakers: Jeremy Lefebvre (implied, as he is the sole narrator)
• Duration: 39 minutes, 46 seconds

Overview

This video analyzes the current market sentiment, suggesting a potential shift from a bear trap to a more bullish environment. The speaker discusses several stocks poised to benefit from this potential market movement, including AMD, Micron, and various quality small-cap companies. The speaker also provides insights on major tech stocks like Nvidia, Google, Adobe, and Salesforce, as well as consumer discretionary and entertainment stocks like Wind and Netflix. The discussion includes market analysis, investment strategies, and reactions to financial news.

Key takeaways

• Market Shift: The market may be transitioning out of a "bear trap" and could be entering a new bull cycle, potentially lasting 6 to 18 months.
• Semiconductor Strength: AMD and Micron are highlighted as strong performers in the semiconductor sector, driven by new product cycles and high demand for memory. AMD is noted for outperforming Nvidia due to its growth potential and upcoming product releases.
• Quality Small Caps: Stocks like Revolve, Ulta Beauty (ELF), and Celsius are identified as quality small-cap companies that are expected to perform well in a more risk-on environment.
• Turnaround Plays: Stocks like Estee Lauder (EL) and Nike are presented as potential turnaround plays that have shown recent momentum, diverging from broader market indices.
• Long-Term Potential: Companies like Wind (Wynn Resorts) have long-term catalysts, such as new property openings, that could drive stock performance.
• Netflix Analysis: The speaker advises against selling Netflix stock despite its recent struggles, viewing it as a fundamentally strong company and suggesting its current price presents a buying opportunity rather than a selling one.
• Market Timing vs. Long-Term Investing: The speaker emphasizes the importance of long-term investing over attempting to time market dips, citing historical data on market recoveries and the difficulty of predicting exact downturns.
• Federal Reserve Impact: The Federal Reserve's independence and policies are considered crucial for market stability, with potential implications for interest rates and housing market recovery.

Here are the stocks mentioned in the video and the associated claims:

• AMD:

  • Outperforming Nvidia despite Nvidia being flat.
  • Could push $325 or $350 in a slight bullish market.
  • Could push $350-$400 in a big bull run.
  • Expected to continue rallying due to 450 production and hype around 400/500 series.
  • Expected to have several years of strong growth.
  • Market recognizes its potential, causing it to outperform Nvidia.
  • Significantly outperforming Nvidia since April lows (up 219% vs. Nvidia's 90%).
  • Less risky than Micron.

• Micron (MU):

  • Had a 236% gain in the past 6 months.
  • Sees more momentum than AMD.
  • Riskiest of the three semiconductor stocks (AMD, Nvidia, MU) due to its commoditized business model.
  • Will get "hit the hardest" when semiconductor stocks have a tough time.
  • Will have significantly more downside than Nvidia and AMD when the market turns.
  • Currently in a "super party" due to high memory pricing and demand.

• Nvidia:

  • Has been flat for the past five trading days (while AMD was up 15%).
  • Has performed well since April lows (up 90%), but AMD has outperformed it significantly (up 219%).
  • Will continue to do amazing and put up amazing numbers but is expected to have solid numbers moving forward, not the huge growth of AMD.
  • Less growth potential percentage-wise compared to AMD in the near future.

• Revolve (RVLV):

  • A quality small-cap stock.
  • Up 2% in the past month.
  • Down slightly in the past 5 days, possibly due to tariff threats.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Cake:

  • A quality small-cap stock.
  • Up almost 15% in the past month.
  • Up slightly in the past 5 days.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• ELF (Ulta Beauty):

  • A quality small-cap stock.
  • Up 13% in the past month.
  • Up almost 6% in the past 5 days.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Celsius:

  • A quality small-cap stock.
  • Up 28% in the past month.
  • Up about 7.5% in the past 5 days.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Estee Lauder (EL):

  • A turnaround play/value stock.
  • Up 8% in the past month (compared to Nike's 12%).
  • Outperforming the Qs (down 7%) and S&P 500 (flat) over the past month.
  • Could see momentum.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Nike:

  • A turnaround play/value stock.
  • Up 12% in the past month (compared to Estee Lauder's 8%).
  • Outperforming the Qs (down 7%) and S&P 500 (flat) over the past month.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• American Express (AXP):

  • Could definitely see momentum.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Wynn Resorts (Wynn):

  • Could potentially see momentum.
  • Expected to build as the year progresses due to a new property opening in the Middle East in 2027.
  • This new property could be a "game-changer" and as it gets closer to opening, hype and excitement are expected to build.
  • Performance may also benefit from stability in China and good Macau numbers.

• Honest Company:

  • Has a superb balance sheet, better than most large-cap companies.
  • Debt is "basically non-existent," and the company is loaded on cash relative to its market cap.
  • Not a low-quality small-cap, despite being grouped with them.
  • Needs more bullish activity and for quality small caps to continue rolling for its stock to run.
  • Considered way less risky than Fubo.
  • Considered very attractively priced.

• Fubo:

  • A riskier small-cap stock.
  • Has more reward potential than Honest Company.
  • Considered low quality by the speaker due to unproven long-term profitability.

• PayPal:

  • A "beaten down dog."
  • Considered very attractively priced.

• Adobe:

  • Will be "just fine."
  • Needs to keep putting up great numbers and show great growth in its AI-related products and use cases.
  • Considered very attractively priced.

• Salesforce (CRM):

  • Will be "just fine."
  • Needs to show great use cases for Agent Force and adoption by customers.
  • Considered very attractively priced.

• Google (Alphabet):

  • Has been the hottest Mag 7 stock by a mile over the past 1, 3, and 6 months.
  • Stock price significantly increased after Gemini started taking market share.
  • Considered a personal holding of the speaker.
  • Was previously trashed by investors at the beginning of last year but recovered by putting up numbers.

• Apple:

  • Down 16% in the past 6 months (compared to Google's 72%).
  • Down 6% in the past 3 months.
  • Down over 9% in the past month.
  • Down 14% from its all-time highs.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Microsoft:

  • Down 13% in the past 6 months.
  • Down almost 14% in the past 3 months.
  • Down 8-12% in the past month.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Meta:

  • Down 14% in the past 6 months.
  • Down 16% in the past 3 months.
  • Down 8-12% in the past month.
  • Considered very attractively priced.

• Tesla:

  • Down 3% in the past 3 months.
  • Down 12% in the past month.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Amazon:

  • Only up 1.5% in the past 6 months.
  • Up 4% in the past 3 months.
  • Up 1% in the past month.
  • Considered attractively priced.

• Homebuilders (General):

  • Stocks "just suck" unless traded.
  • Very cyclical industry with hot and cold periods.
  • CEOs often focus on short-term EPS, leading to share buybacks at peak prices.
  • They are not companies where revenue consistently goes up and to the right like Salesforce or Amazon.
  • Companies selling at a 10% discount are attractive if they have good earnings visibility or structural reasons to be long.
  • Avoid companies in the "bullseye" of White House policy.

• Netflix:

  • A factually great company and one of the best in the world.
  • The recent deal (presumably of its assets to Paramount) is not liked by the speaker and is causing the stock to be a "dog for a while."
  • Selling now, when the stock is down significantly (around 30% from all-time highs), is considered "crazy."
  • Advocates for long-term investing rather than selling in case of a market dump.
  • Speaker believes they "win if they win and they win if they lose" this particular deal, but win by a smaller margin if they buy.
  • Suggests Netflix should spend money on sports rights for better ROI and to make the product stickier, rather than on acquiring another company.
  • Has a "YouTube problem" needing to focus on original content.
  • 25% of YouTube viewership is now on TV sets, which is a problem for Netflix.